GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/21/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chelsea U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Chelsea U21 are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Cardiff City U21 are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Cardiff City U21 hold a 5.3-point power-rating edge (26.7 v 32.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.2% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Chelsea U21 holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chelsea U21

Probability

36.2%

Model confidence

36.2%

Chelsea U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Chelsea U21DLLLL

GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Cardiff City U21LWDWW

GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Chelsea U21Cardiff City U21
16.7Attack100.0
50.0Defence0.0
0.0Form0.0
26.7Power32.0
1.79xG1.69
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