Chelmsford Cityvs
Ebbsfleet United
POSTPONEDEngland · National League - South · 8/17/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ebbsfleet United · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Chelmsford City are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Ebbsfleet United are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Ebbsfleet United hold an 11.9-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 57.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.8% in the National League - South, while Ebbsfleet United holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ebbsfleet United
Probability
42.1%
Model confidence
13.8%
Ebbsfleet United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80