GGOALVIO

England · National League - South · 8/17/2026, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ebbsfleet United · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Chelmsford City are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Ebbsfleet United are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Ebbsfleet United hold an 11.9-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 57.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.8% in the National League - South, while Ebbsfleet United holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ebbsfleet United

Probability

42.1%

Model confidence

13.8%

Ebbsfleet United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Chelmsford CityDLWDD

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Ebbsfleet UnitedLWLWW

GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Chelmsford CityEbbsfleet United
33.3Attack52.9
66.7Defence60.9
33.3Form55.8
45.3Power57.3
1.14xG1.42
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