Chavesvs
Guimaraes B
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 7/25/2026, 9:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chaves · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Chaves are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Guimaraes B are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Chaves hold a 25.9-point power-rating edge (49.5 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.4% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Chaves holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Chaves
Probability
42.4%
Model confidence
42.4%
Chaves has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80