GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/25/2026, 9:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chaves · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Chaves are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Guimaraes B are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Chaves hold a 25.9-point power-rating edge (49.5 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.4% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Chaves holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chaves

Probability

42.4%

Model confidence

42.4%

Chaves has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ChavesWLWWW

GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Guimaraes BLDLDD

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
ChavesGuimaraes B
41.7Attack66.7
58.3Defence0.0
50.0Form0.0
49.5Power23.7
1.99xG1.36
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