GGOALVIO

Bulgaria · Third League - Southwest · 8/8/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Chavdar Etropole are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Oborishte are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Oborishte hold a 22.2-point power-rating edge (26.2 v 48.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Third League - Southwest, favouring a draw with 13.7% confidence, a 54% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

28.7%

Model confidence

13.7%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Chavdar EtropoleLLWWW

GF 16 · GA 6 · avg 3.20/1.20

BTTS 0/5O2.5 4/5
OborishteDWDWL

GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
Chavdar EtropoleOborishte
16.7Attack33.3
33.3Defence66.7
16.7Form33.3
26.2Power48.3
1.24xG1.39
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