GGOALVIO

USA · MLS Next Pro · 7/18/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chattanooga · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Chattanooga are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DWDDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Orlando City II are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Chattanooga hold an 8.1-point power-rating edge (59.2 v 51.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.5% in the MLS Next Pro, while Chattanooga holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chattanooga

Probability

55.5%

Model confidence

55.5%

Chattanooga has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ChattanoogaDWDDD

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Orlando City IIWDDLW

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
ChattanoogaOrlando City II
62.1Attack63.6
54.5Defence37.9
59.1Form47.0
59.2Power51.1
2.61xG1.58
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