GGOALVIO

USA · MLS Next Pro · 3/8/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chattanooga · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Chattanooga are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Connecticut FC are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 6 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Chattanooga hold a 5.8-point power-rating edge (58.6 v 52.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.1% in the MLS Next Pro, while Chattanooga holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chattanooga

Probability

52.1%

Model confidence

52.1%

Chattanooga has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ChattanoogaLLDWW

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Connecticut FCW

GF 3 · GA 1 · avg 3.00/1.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 1/1
ChattanoogaConnecticut FC
62.3Attack63.5
53.6Defence41.3
58.0Form50.8
58.6Power52.9
2.45xG1.62
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