GGOALVIO

USA · MLS Next Pro · 6/27/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chattanooga · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Chattanooga are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Chicago Fire II are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Chattanooga hold a 3.7-point power-rating edge (58.6 v 55.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.1% in the MLS Next Pro, while Chattanooga holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chattanooga

Probability

44.1%

Model confidence

44.1%

Chattanooga has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ChattanoogaDDWLW

GF 12 · GA 10 · avg 2.40/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Chicago Fire IIWWLWL

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
ChattanoogaChicago Fire II
62.3Attack68.2
53.6Defence48.5
58.0Form50.0
58.6Power55.0
2.14xG1.75
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