GGOALVIO

USA · MLS Next Pro · 7/25/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chattanooga · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Chattanooga are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDWDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Bethlehem Steel are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Chattanooga hold a 12.4-point power-rating edge (58.6 v 46.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.1% in the MLS Next Pro, while Chattanooga holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chattanooga

Probability

56.1%

Model confidence

56.1%

Chattanooga has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ChattanoogaDDWDD

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 1/5
Bethlehem SteelLDWLW

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
ChattanoogaBethlehem Steel
62.3Attack36.4
53.6Defence56.1
58.0Form42.4
58.6Power46.2
1.87xG0.91
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