GGOALVIO

USA · USL League One · 8/8/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Union Omaha · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Chattanooga Red Wolves are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Union Omaha are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Union Omaha hold a 7.3-point power-rating edge (57.4 v 64.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.7% in the USL League One, while Union Omaha holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Union Omaha

Probability

36.7%

Model confidence

36.7%

Union Omaha has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Chattanooga Red WolvesWLWWW

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Union OmahaWWDLW

GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Chattanooga Red WolvesUnion Omaha
59.3Attack56.7
53.7Defence63.3
57.4Form68.3
57.4Power64.7
1.37xG1.48
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