GGOALVIO

USA · USL League One · 7/25/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

One Knoxville · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Chattanooga Red Wolves are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while One Knoxville are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and One Knoxville hold a 5.2-point power-rating edge (57.4 v 62.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.0% in the USL League One, while One Knoxville holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

One Knoxville

Probability

37.0%

Model confidence

37.0%

One Knoxville has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Chattanooga Red WolvesWWLLW

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
One KnoxvilleLWDWW

GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Chattanooga Red WolvesOne Knoxville
59.3Attack57.9
53.7Defence63.2
57.4Form63.2
57.4Power62.6
1.39xG1.50
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