GGOALVIO

USA · USL League One · 4/11/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chattanooga Red Wolves · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Chattanooga Red Wolves are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Fort Wayne are 0W-1D-3L in their last 4 (LDLL), averaging 0.75 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 9 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Chattanooga Red Wolves hold a 5.7-point power-rating edge (57.4 v 51.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.1% in the USL League One, while Chattanooga Red Wolves holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chattanooga Red Wolves

Probability

43.1%

Model confidence

43.1%

Chattanooga Red Wolves has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Chattanooga Red WolvesDWLWW

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Fort WayneLDLL

GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.75/2.00

BTTS 2/4O2.5 2/4
Chattanooga Red WolvesFort Wayne
59.3Attack43.9
53.7Defence61.4
57.4Form47.4
57.4Power51.6
1.50xG1.10
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