Chattanooga Red Wolvesvs
Fort Wayne
COMPLETEDUSA · USL League One · 4/11/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chattanooga Red Wolves · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Chattanooga Red Wolves are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Fort Wayne are 0W-1D-3L in their last 4 (LDLL), averaging 0.75 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 9 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Chattanooga Red Wolves hold a 5.7-point power-rating edge (57.4 v 51.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.1% in the USL League One, while Chattanooga Red Wolves holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Chattanooga Red Wolves
Probability
43.1%
Model confidence
43.1%
Chattanooga Red Wolves has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.75/2.00