GGOALVIO

USA · USL League One · 5/30/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Charlotte Independence · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Chattanooga Red Wolves are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Charlotte Independence are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Charlotte Independence hold an 8.5-point power-rating edge (57.4 v 65.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.5% in the USL League One, while Charlotte Independence holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Charlotte Independence

Probability

40.5%

Model confidence

40.5%

Charlotte Independence has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Chattanooga Red WolvesWLDWL

GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Charlotte IndependenceWDWWD

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Chattanooga Red WolvesCharlotte Independence
59.3Attack75.4
53.7Defence52.6
57.4Form68.4
57.4Power65.9
1.77xG1.97
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