GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 5/16/2026, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Charlotte · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Charlotte are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Toronto FC are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Charlotte hold an 8.9-point power-rating edge (50.6 v 41.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.9% in the Major League Soccer, while Charlotte holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Charlotte

Probability

54.9%

Model confidence

54.9%

Charlotte has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CharlotteLDLLL

GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Toronto FCLLDLD

GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
CharlotteToronto FC
53.7Attack44.4
50.0Defence40.7
46.3Form31.5
50.6Power41.8
2.13xG1.19
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