Charlottevs
Toronto FC
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 5/16/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Charlotte · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Charlotte are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Toronto FC are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Charlotte hold an 8.9-point power-rating edge (50.6 v 41.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.9% in the Major League Soccer, while Charlotte holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Charlotte
Probability
54.9%
Model confidence
54.9%
Charlotte has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40
GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60