GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 4/4/2026, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Charlotte · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Charlotte are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Philadelphia Union are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Charlotte hold a 9.7-point power-rating edge (50.6 v 40.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.3% in the Major League Soccer, while Charlotte holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Charlotte

Probability

55.3%

Model confidence

55.3%

Charlotte has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CharlotteWDWLD

GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Philadelphia UnionLLLLL

GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
CharlottePhiladelphia Union
53.7Attack46.3
50.0Defence38.9
46.3Form29.6
50.6Power40.9
2.20xG1.24
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