Charlottevs
New York City FC
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 5/13/2026, 11:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
New York City FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Charlotte are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.40 conceded, while New York City FC are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and New York City FC hold a 3.4-point power-rating edge (50.6 v 54.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.9% in the Major League Soccer, while New York City FC holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
New York City FC
Probability
38.3%
Model confidence
11.9%
New York City FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80