GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 4/11/2026, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Nashville SC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Charlotte are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Nashville SC are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Nashville SC hold a 22.1-point power-rating edge (50.6 v 72.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.6% in the Major League Soccer, while Nashville SC holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Nashville SC

Probability

59.6%

Model confidence

59.6%

Nashville SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CharlotteWWDWL

GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Nashville SCLWWWD

GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
CharlotteNashville SC
53.7Attack68.4
50.0Defence73.7
46.3Form75.4
50.6Power72.7
0.90xG2.02
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