GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 8/15/2026, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Charlotte · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Charlotte are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Columbus Crew are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Charlotte hold a 4.3-point power-rating edge (50.6 v 46.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.6% in the Major League Soccer, while Charlotte holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Charlotte

Probability

48.3%

Model confidence

11.6%

Charlotte has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CharlotteLWWLW

GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Columbus CrewDWWDW

GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
CharlotteColumbus Crew
53.7Attack48.1
50.0Defence48.1
46.3Form37.0
50.6Power46.3
1.83xG1.31
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