Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Charlotte · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Charlotte are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Austin are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Charlotte hold a 13.4-point power-rating edge (50.6 v 37.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.7% in the Major League Soccer, while Charlotte holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Charlotte
Probability
62.7%
Model confidence
62.7%
Charlotte has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40