GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 7/23/2026, 12:15:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Charlotte · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Charlotte are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Atlanta United FC are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Charlotte hold a 15.9-point power-rating edge (50.6 v 34.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 63.2% in the Major League Soccer, while Charlotte holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Charlotte

Probability

63.2%

Model confidence

63.2%

Charlotte has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CharlotteWWLDL

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Atlanta United FCLLDLW

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
CharlotteAtlanta United FC
53.7Attack35.2
50.0Defence38.9
46.3Form22.2
50.6Power34.7
2.24xG0.92
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