Charlottevs
Atlanta United FC
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 7/23/2026, 12:15:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Charlotte · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Charlotte are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Atlanta United FC are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Charlotte hold a 15.9-point power-rating edge (50.6 v 34.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 63.2% in the Major League Soccer, while Charlotte holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Charlotte
Probability
63.2%
Model confidence
63.2%
Charlotte has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40