Charlotte Independencevs
Sarasota Paradise
SCHEDULEDUSA · USL League One · 8/15/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Charlotte Independence · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Charlotte Independence are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Sarasota Paradise are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Charlotte Independence hold a 26.5-point power-rating edge (65.9 v 39.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.0% in the USL League One, while Charlotte Independence holds the strongest overall chance at 77% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Charlotte Independence
Probability
77.3%
Model confidence
12.0%
Charlotte Independence has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
GF 2 · GA 11 · avg 0.40/2.20