Charlotte Independencevs
Richmond Kickers
COMPLETEDUSA · USL League One · 7/25/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Charlotte Independence · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0
Charlotte Independence are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Richmond Kickers are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Charlotte Independence hold a 29.8-point power-rating edge (65.9 v 36.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 81.2% in the USL League One, while Charlotte Independence holds the strongest overall chance at 81% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Charlotte Independence
Probability
81.2%
Model confidence
81.2%
Charlotte Independence has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20
GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.60/2.40