GGOALVIO

USA · USL League One · 8/1/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Charlotte Independence · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Charlotte Independence are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.20 conceded, while One Knoxville are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Charlotte Independence hold a 3.3-point power-rating edge (65.9 v 62.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.2% in the USL League One, while Charlotte Independence holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Charlotte Independence

Probability

42.2%

Model confidence

42.2%

Charlotte Independence has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Charlotte IndependenceWLLDD

GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
One KnoxvilleLLWDW

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Charlotte IndependenceOne Knoxville
75.4Attack57.9
52.6Defence63.2
68.4Form63.2
65.9Power62.6
1.81xG1.49
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