Charlotte Independencevs
One Knoxville
COMPLETEDUSA · USL League One · 8/1/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Charlotte Independence · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Charlotte Independence are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.20 conceded, while One Knoxville are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Charlotte Independence hold a 3.3-point power-rating edge (65.9 v 62.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.2% in the USL League One, while Charlotte Independence holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Charlotte Independence
Probability
42.2%
Model confidence
42.2%
Charlotte Independence has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40