GGOALVIO

USA · USL League One · 7/18/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Charlotte Independence · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Charlotte Independence are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Chattanooga Red Wolves are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Charlotte Independence hold an 8.5-point power-rating edge (65.9 v 57.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.0% in the USL League One, while Charlotte Independence holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Charlotte Independence

Probability

52.0%

Model confidence

52.0%

Charlotte Independence has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Charlotte IndependenceDDWWW

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Chattanooga Red WolvesWLLWW

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Charlotte IndependenceChattanooga Red Wolves
75.4Attack59.3
52.6Defence53.7
68.4Form57.4
65.9Power57.4
2.31xG1.50
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