GGOALVIO

USA · USL Championship · 4/18/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tampa Bay Rowdies · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Charleston Battery are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Tampa Bay Rowdies are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Tampa Bay Rowdies hold an 8.8-point power-rating edge (59.5 v 68.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.0% in the USL Championship, while Tampa Bay Rowdies holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tampa Bay Rowdies

Probability

37.0%

Model confidence

37.0%

Tampa Bay Rowdies has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Charleston BatteryLWLWW

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Tampa Bay RowdiesDWWWW

GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Charleston BatteryTampa Bay Rowdies
66.7Attack63.2
57.9Defence66.7
57.9Form71.9
59.5Power68.3
1.39xG1.50
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