GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 8/1/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Charleroi · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Highconfidence

Charleroi are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Rayo Vallecano are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Charleroi hold a 52.0-point power-rating edge (84.5 v 32.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.7% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Charleroi holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Charleroi

Probability

61.7%

Model confidence

61.7%

Charleroi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CharleroiWDLDW

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Rayo VallecanoLLLWW

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
CharleroiRayo Vallecano
100.0Attack22.2
66.7Defence38.9
88.9Form27.8
84.5Power32.5
3.25xG0.78
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