Chapecoense-scvs
Gremio
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie A · 3/16/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gremio · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Chapecoense-sc are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Gremio are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Gremio hold a 17.9-point power-rating edge (29.4 v 47.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.2% in the Serie A, while Gremio holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Gremio
Probability
49.2%
Model confidence
49.2%
Gremio has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80