GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie A · 3/16/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Gremio · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Chapecoense-sc are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Gremio are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Gremio hold a 17.9-point power-rating edge (29.4 v 47.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.2% in the Serie A, while Gremio holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Gremio

Probability

49.2%

Model confidence

49.2%

Gremio has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Chapecoense-scLDDWW

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
GremioDWLWL

GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Chapecoense-scGremio
31.7Attack38.1
31.7Defence57.1
15.9Form39.7
29.4Power47.3
0.83xG1.50
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