GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie A · 7/23/2026, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Flamengo · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Chapecoense-sc are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Flamengo are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Flamengo hold a 36.0-point power-rating edge (30.2 v 66.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 78.0% in the Serie A, while Flamengo holds the strongest overall chance at 78% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Flamengo

Probability

78.0%

Model confidence

78.0%

Flamengo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Chapecoense-scLWLLL

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
FlamengoWWWDW

GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Chapecoense-scFlamengo
34.8Attack61.9
30.3Defence71.4
16.7Form66.7
30.2Power66.2
0.57xG2.63
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