GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie A · 2/11/2026, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Coritiba · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Chapecoense-sc are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Coritiba are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Coritiba hold a 19.8-point power-rating edge (29.4 v 49.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.9% in the Serie A, while Coritiba holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Coritiba

Probability

51.9%

Model confidence

51.9%

Coritiba has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Chapecoense-scDWWDL

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
CoritibaWLWDW

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Chapecoense-scCoritiba
31.7Attack40.6
31.7Defence56.5
15.9Form44.9
29.4Power49.2
0.83xG1.61
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