Chapecoense-scvs
Bahia
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie A · 8/16/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bahia · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Chapecoense-sc are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Bahia are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDDDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Bahia hold a 24.5-point power-rating edge (29.4 v 53.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.7% in the Serie A, while Bahia holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bahia
Probability
58.7%
Model confidence
58.7%
Bahia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00
GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40