GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie A · 8/16/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bahia · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Chapecoense-sc are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Bahia are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDDDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Bahia hold a 24.5-point power-rating edge (29.4 v 53.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.7% in the Serie A, while Bahia holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bahia

Probability

58.7%

Model confidence

58.7%

Bahia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Chapecoense-scLLDDL

GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
BahiaDDDDW

GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
Chapecoense-scBahia
31.7Attack43.9
31.7Defence62.1
15.9Form50.0
29.4Power53.9
0.72xG1.77
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