Changwon Cityvs
Ulsan Citizen
COMPLETEDSouth-Korea · K3 League · 5/23/2026, 5:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Changwon City are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Ulsan Citizen are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLLDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 41.9 against 43.5. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.1% in the K3 League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
41.1%
Model confidence
41.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20