GGOALVIO

South-Korea · K3 League · 4/19/2026, 5:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Changwon City are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Gyeongju HNP are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLDLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Gyeongju HNP hold a 5.3-point power-rating edge (41.9 v 47.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.5% in the K3 League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 20% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

43.5%

Model confidence

43.5%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Changwon CityDWLLD

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Gyeongju HNPWLDLL

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Changwon CityGyeongju HNP
28.7Attack33.3
55.2Defence61.9
34.5Form40.5
41.9Power47.2
0.69xG0.83
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