GGOALVIO

South-Korea · K3 League · 3/8/2026, 5:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Dangjin Citizen · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Changwon City are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Dangjin Citizen are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Dangjin Citizen hold a 12.7-point power-rating edge (41.9 v 54.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.4% in the K3 League, while Dangjin Citizen holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Dangjin Citizen

Probability

50.4%

Model confidence

50.4%

Dangjin Citizen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Changwon CityWWDWD

GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Dangjin CitizenLLLWW

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Changwon CityDangjin Citizen
28.7Attack61.4
55.2Defence52.6
34.5Form49.1
41.9Power54.6
0.84xG1.56
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