GGOALVIO

South-Korea · WK-League · 5/16/2026, 5:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hwacheon KSPO · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Changnyeong are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Hwacheon KSPO are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Hwacheon KSPO hold a 39.2-point power-rating edge (29.6 v 68.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 74.4% in the WK-League, while Hwacheon KSPO holds the strongest overall chance at 74% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hwacheon KSPO

Probability

74.4%

Model confidence

74.4%

Hwacheon KSPO has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ChangnyeongLLWWD

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Hwacheon KSPOWWWDL

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
ChangnyeongHwacheon KSPO
31.7Attack49.1
26.7Defence84.2
21.7Form70.2
29.6Power68.8
0.47xG2.21
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