GGOALVIO

China · League One · 7/17/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Wuxi Wugou · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Changchun Yatai are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Wuxi Wugou are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDDDW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Wuxi Wugou hold a 10.7-point power-rating edge (45.4 v 56.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.0% in the League One, while Wuxi Wugou holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Wuxi Wugou

Probability

54.0%

Model confidence

54.0%

Wuxi Wugou has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Changchun YataiWLWDL

GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Wuxi WugouLDDDW

GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Changchun YataiWuxi Wugou
50.0Attack58.3
37.0Defence62.5
42.6Form47.9
45.4Power56.1
1.17xG2.06
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