Changchun Yataivs
Suzhou Dongwu
COMPLETEDChina · League One · 4/5/2026, 7:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Changchun Yatai · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Changchun Yatai are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Suzhou Dongwu are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Changchun Yatai hold a 4.2-point power-rating edge (45.4 v 41.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.0% in the League One, while Changchun Yatai holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Changchun Yatai
Probability
45.0%
Model confidence
45.0%
Changchun Yatai has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60