GGOALVIO

China · League One · 4/5/2026, 7:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Changchun Yatai · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Changchun Yatai are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Suzhou Dongwu are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Changchun Yatai hold a 4.2-point power-rating edge (45.4 v 41.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.0% in the League One, while Changchun Yatai holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Changchun Yatai

Probability

45.0%

Model confidence

45.0%

Changchun Yatai has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Changchun YataiLLLLD

GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Suzhou DongwuWLWDW

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Changchun YataiSuzhou Dongwu
50.0Attack25.9
37.0Defence57.4
42.6Form31.5
45.4Power41.2
1.39xG0.88
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