GGOALVIO

China · League One · 5/24/2026, 7:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Shenzhen Juniors · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Changchun Yatai are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Shenzhen Juniors are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Shenzhen Juniors hold a 12.4-point power-rating edge (45.4 v 57.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.0% in the League One, while Shenzhen Juniors holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Shenzhen Juniors

Probability

49.0%

Model confidence

49.0%

Shenzhen Juniors has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Changchun YataiDWLLW

GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Shenzhen JuniorsWWWLW

GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Changchun YataiShenzhen Juniors
50.0Attack51.9
37.0Defence61.1
42.6Form59.3
45.4Power57.8
1.20xG1.85
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