GGOALVIO

China · League One · 8/2/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Changchun Yatai · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Changchun Yatai are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Hebei Kungfu are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Changchun Yatai hold a 6.0-point power-rating edge (45.4 v 39.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.3% in the League One, while Changchun Yatai holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Changchun Yatai

Probability

44.3%

Model confidence

44.3%

Changchun Yatai has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Changchun YataiWLWLW

GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Hebei KungfuDDLLW

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Changchun YataiHebei Kungfu
50.0Attack22.2
37.0Defence59.3
42.6Form27.8
45.4Power39.4
1.34xG0.85
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