GGOALVIO

China · League One · 4/26/2026, 7:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Guangzhou E-Power · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Changchun Yatai are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Guangzhou E-Power are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Guangzhou E-Power hold a 24.9-point power-rating edge (45.4 v 70.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.7% in the League One, while Guangzhou E-Power holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Guangzhou E-Power

Probability

64.7%

Model confidence

64.7%

Guangzhou E-Power has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Changchun YataiWWWLL

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Guangzhou E-PowerWWLWW

GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Changchun YataiGuangzhou E-Power
50.0Attack61.1
37.0Defence70.4
42.6Form74.1
45.4Power70.3
0.88xG2.27
View match centre →