GGOALVIO

China · League One · 6/27/2026, 7:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Guangxi Hengchen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Changchun Yatai are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Guangxi Hengchen are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDDDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Guangxi Hengchen hold a 14.0-point power-rating edge (45.4 v 59.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.8% in the League One, while Guangxi Hengchen holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Guangxi Hengchen

Probability

52.8%

Model confidence

52.8%

Guangxi Hengchen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Changchun YataiWDLDW

GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Guangxi HengchenLDDDW

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Changchun YataiGuangxi Hengchen
50.0Attack58.8
37.0Defence58.8
42.6Form56.9
45.4Power59.4
1.27xG2.10
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