GGOALVIO

China · League One · 6/13/2026, 7:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Changchun Yatai · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Changchun Yatai are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Dalian Huayi are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Changchun Yatai hold a 2.0-point power-rating edge (45.4 v 43.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.5% in the League One, while Changchun Yatai holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Changchun Yatai

Probability

41.5%

Model confidence

41.5%

Changchun Yatai has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Changchun YataiDLDWL

GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Dalian HuayiDLLDD

GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Changchun YataiDalian Huayi
50.0Attack42.6
37.0Defence46.3
42.6Form33.3
45.4Power43.3
1.74xG1.45
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