GGOALVIO

China · League Two · 5/10/2026, 8:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Changchun Xidu are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Shanghai Second are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Changchun Xidu hold a 3.1-point power-rating edge (37.7 v 34.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.3% in the League Two, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 23% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

41.3%

Model confidence

41.3%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Changchun XiduDLDLW

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Shanghai SecondWLDWL

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Changchun XiduShanghai Second
20.6Attack31.7
57.1Defence41.3
27.0Form22.2
37.7Power34.6
0.93xG0.74
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