Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cham · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Cham are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Paradiso are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Paradiso hold a 5.8-point power-rating edge (50.4 v 56.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.7% in the 1. Liga Promotion, while Cham holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Cham
Probability
37.4%
Model confidence
13.7%
Cham has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40
GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40