GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 8/2/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Deportivo Moron · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Chaco For Ever are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Deportivo Moron are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportivo Moron hold a 19.5-point power-rating edge (42.8 v 62.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.3% in the Primera Nacional, while Deportivo Moron holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Deportivo Moron

Probability

50.3%

Model confidence

50.3%

Deportivo Moron has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Chaco For EverWWDWL

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Deportivo MoronWDLLW

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Chaco For EverDeportivo Moron
30.4Attack54.2
59.4Defence69.4
31.9Form61.1
42.8Power62.2
0.57xG1.30
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