GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 5/10/2026, 7:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Chaco For Ever are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Ciudad de Bolívar are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Ciudad de Bolívar hold an 8.5-point power-rating edge (42.0 v 50.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.6% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 21% BTTS chance and 12% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

49.6%

Model confidence

49.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Chaco For EverLDDWL

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Ciudad de BolívarLWWDW

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Chaco For EverCiudad de Bolívar
29.2Attack28.0
59.7Defence70.7
30.6Form45.3
42.0Power50.5
0.54xG0.64
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