GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 7/5/2026, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Chaco For Ever are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Acassuso are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Chaco For Ever hold a 2.2-point power-rating edge (42.8 v 40.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.6% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 16% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

45.6%

Model confidence

45.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Chaco For EverWLLDL

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
AcassusoLLWDW

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Chaco For EverAcassuso
30.4Attack25.0
59.4Defence59.7
31.9Form30.6
42.8Power40.6
0.80xG0.56
View match centre →