GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 2/15/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Chacarita Juniors are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while San Martin S.J. are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and San Martin S.J. hold a 7.3-point power-rating edge (43.9 v 51.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.2% in the Primera Nacional, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 22% BTTS chance and 13% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

48.2%

Model confidence

48.2%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Chacarita JuniorsLDLLD

GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
San Martin S.J.LDDWW

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Chacarita JuniorsSan Martin S.J.
25.0Attack34.8
63.9Defence66.7
36.1Form44.9
43.9Power51.3
0.53xG0.71
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