GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie D · 5/16/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

XV de Piracicaba · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

CFRJ / Maricá are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDW), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while XV de Piracicaba are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and XV de Piracicaba hold an 11.8-point power-rating edge (42.9 v 54.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.9% in the Serie D, while XV de Piracicaba holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

XV de Piracicaba

Probability

41.9%

Model confidence

41.9%

XV de Piracicaba has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CFRJ / MaricáLLLDW

GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
XV de PiracicabaWDWDD

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
CFRJ / MaricáXV de Piracicaba
30.0Attack40.5
53.3Defence66.7
36.7Form52.4
42.9Power54.7
0.62xG1.07
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