GGOALVIO

CFRJ / Maricá logoCFRJ / MaricávsPérolas Negras logoPérolas Negras

COMPLETED

Brazil · Copa Rio · 7/22/2026, 5:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

CFRJ / Maricá are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Pérolas Negras are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWWLL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Pérolas Negras hold an 8.3-point power-rating edge (56.1 v 64.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.7% in the Copa Rio, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

36.7%

Model confidence

36.7%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CFRJ / MaricáDLWDL

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Pérolas NegrasDWWLL

GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
CFRJ / MaricáPérolas Negras
33.3Attack83.3
75.0Defence66.7
58.3Form58.3
56.1Power64.4
0.94xG1.03
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