CFRJ / MaricávsNova Iguaçu

CFRJ / Maricá are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Nova Iguaçu are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Nova Iguaçu hold a 3.2-point power-rating edge (42.9 v 46.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.2% in the Serie D, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 23% BTTS chance and 13% for over 2.5 goals.