GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 7/16/2026, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

CF Montreal · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

CF Montreal are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLD), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Toronto FC are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Toronto FC hold a 4.0-point power-rating edge (37.8 v 41.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.5% in the Major League Soccer, while CF Montreal holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

CF Montreal

Probability

37.5%

Model confidence

37.5%

CF Montreal has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CF MontrealWWDLD

GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Toronto FCLLLLD

GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.20/2.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
CF MontrealToronto FC
44.4Attack44.4
35.2Defence40.7
29.6Form31.5
37.8Power41.8
1.69xG1.61
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